![How to Predict a Runner's Marathon Time - Data Dive](https://ytimg.googleusercontent.com/vi/pOYuSOCSCMs/hqdefault.jpg)
Configuration and data collection
Access training data using TrainingPeaks or your device account. Make sure you know the interface well (see the TP tutorial if necessary: https://youtu.be/SDHyn4ZLdWk).
Identify key workouts:
Focus on "marathon-specific" workouts such as a long run of 10K, 15K, or other tempo efforts that simulate marathon conditions. These are essential for assessing pace endurance and durability.
Data analysis
Review workout details:
For each key workout, review the following data points:
Heart rate: Check average heart rate and how it aligns with target zones.
Power Output: Analyze consistency in desired power zones.
Pace: Observe race pace and compare it to expected pace for race goals.
Consistency check :
Evaluate consistency of performance across multiple workouts. Ensure the runner maintains a stable heart rate and power output close to target zones without significant deviations.
Review of advanced metrics:
Look at splits (for example, the first 10K split during a longer workout) to assess pace sustainability.
Analyze maximum and average heart rates to assess effort levels and potential overexertion.
Book a 1-2-1 call with me to get answers to your common questions.
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