How to Predict a Runner's Marathon Time – Data Dive

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How to Predict a Runner's Marathon Time - Data Dive
How to Predict a Runner's Marathon Time – Data Dive
Use my simple checklist to analyze your running data to predict your marathon time goal and pacing strategy.

Configuration and data collection
Access training data using TrainingPeaks or your device account. Make sure you know the interface well (see the TP tutorial if necessary: https://youtu.be/SDHyn4ZLdWk).
Identify key workouts:
Focus on "marathon-specific" workouts such as a long run of 10K, 15K, or other tempo efforts that simulate marathon conditions. These are essential for assessing pace endurance and durability.
Data analysis
Review workout details:
For each key workout, review the following data points:
Heart rate: Check average heart rate and how it aligns with target zones.
Power Output: Analyze consistency in desired power zones.
Pace: Observe race pace and compare it to expected pace for race goals.
Consistency check :
Evaluate consistency of performance across multiple workouts. Ensure the runner maintains a stable heart rate and power output close to target zones without significant deviations.
Review of advanced metrics:
Look at splits (for example, the first 10K split during a longer workout) to assess pace sustainability.
Analyze maximum and average heart rates to assess effort levels and potential overexertion.

Book a 1-2-1 call with me to get answers to your common questions.
https://calendly.com/drwilloconnor/performance-consultation-45

• Sign up for TrainingPeaks discount (DrWill2024) – https://www.trainingpeaks.com/

#marathon #running #trainingpeaks

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