The last time intelligence agencies wielded as much power as they do today was during the Cold War. Technological innovations mean that more sophisticated warfare is now a reality. It's no longer just about Russia and the United States. We may be entering a new era of unrest.
The United States has lost more spies and informants since 2010 than at any time since the Cold War. The leaders of Germany's intelligence services also recognize that they are once again facing difficult times. Money, data and access are proving to be major factors in determining who actually wields power. The 2016 American elections made this clear: American intelligence services are certain that Russian intelligence contributed to the election of Donald Trump.
But the United States has lost former spheres of influence, and its allies are increasingly pursuing their own agendas. Can President Biden once again make his country a global law enforcement force? And what does this mean for political flashpoints and potential conflicts with China, Iran and Russia? What about allies like Saudi Arabia and Turkey? Will Western intelligence agencies regain the power they once wielded? Wars fought with drone and hacker attacks, increasingly devolved powers and surveillance could push these conflicts to a crisis point.
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